Weekly Note Preview: Speed Is Of The Essence

Below is an excerpt from the 320th edition of Zenolytics Turning Points.

This past week was right up there with our performance coming out of the March 2020 lows as well as some of the other major turning points over the past few years.

Whereas during those turns we largely held onto positions, favoring a multi-month swing approach to trading, in the current climate it's critical to capture some of our profits until we get more technical clarity.

Of course, we are still heavily long by any measure after taking off *** and ****. For that reason, I want to see technical clarity develop in the next couple of weeks, otherwise there will be further scaling back to around 100% long in the equity portfolio.

What do I mean by technical clarity?

spx

 

You will see three separate highlights in the chart of the SPX above. The first green arrow from June of 2022 was when we fell into what I call no man's land. Ideally, the market would have been able to sustain the bottom end of the red band at around 3900.

However, given the liquidity pressures brought on by the Fed, the market wanted a deeper reset tagging the enormous wall of support at the October lows, marked by the CPI reversal on October 13th.

The full 12 page report is available to clients by visiting https://www.zenolytics.com/premium/

 


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